Move before price.

Tidal Markets turns the U.S. securities lending market into daily, security-level risk signals, alpha signals, and next-day borrow rate predictions – validated across 8.8 million observations and six years of market data.


Position-Level Alpha
Hedge Market Movements
Mitigate Risk Exposure

Three Signal Families. One Source of Truth.

Tidal Markets aggregates U.S. securities lending transaction data into three proprietary signal families — Volatility, Velocity, and Short Interest — delivered to institutional clients every trading day before the open. Each signal measures a different dimension of the lending market. Used together, they form the highest-conviction risk overlay in our research, with alpha exposures validated across six years of U.S. equity data.

Now in Beta

Introducing WaveCast Predictive Models.

Two machine learning models predicting next-day intrinsic borrow rates for US equity special stocks. You see WaveCast scored against your own inventory before we ask for anything.

Direction
WaveCast-D

Predicts Up or Down for each active special tomorrow. Calibrated confidence score — 84.5% accuracy at highest conviction.

70.04%
Direction Accuracy
419K
OOS Predictions
Rate Magnitude
WaveCast-R

Predicts the exact next-day borrow rate in basis points. Seven specialist models — one per rate depth tier.

5.19 bps
Overall MAE
2.97M
OOS Predictions

Pre-Market Delivery

End-of-day signal files arrive every trading day at 7:45 AM EST — in your hands before the open.

Intraday Refresh

Intraday Short Interest updates every 15 minutes between 8:00 AM and 5:00 PM EST, for real-time positioning.

Six Years of History

End-of-day signal history from 2018; intraday history from December 2024. Backtest, calibrate, or run live overlays.

Institutional Delivery

AWS S3 with per-client credentials. Pipe-delimited files, no GUI dependencies, procurement-ready.

8,000+

U.S. Equities Covered Daily

11

Equity Sectors

1.2M+

Daily Lending Transactions

16B

Shares of Lending Activity Observed

Who Tidal Serves

Risk Management
Multi-Strategy Hedge Funds
Quantitative Funds
Long/Short Equity
Proprietary Trading
Prime Brokerage

Alternative Data built like institutional research.

Tidal Market’s signals are pre-specified, independently tested, and documented across six years of U.S. equity data — so the data team evaluating us doesn’t have to take our word for any of it.

Research Published On

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